The world’s largest carbon emitter may reach a critical milestone in 2025 as renewable capacity begins displacing rather than supplementing traditional power sources. According to two independent analyses, China’s energy consumption patterns are approaching a fundamental shift that climate researchers have anticipated for years.
As the East Asian nation has added world-leading amounts of new renewable energy capacity over the past couple of decades, its green energy strategy has evolved beyond adding capacity on top of fossil fuels to actually displacing them.
Data shows that electricity generated by non-carbon sources in the country surpassed demand growth during the first part of 2025, resulting in a 2% decline in fossil fuel consumption. This is the first time renewable energy generation has actively limited fossil fuel-fired production over a sustained period.
Think Tank Ember says China’s approach to clean energy has adapted from simply adding more renewable capacity onto existing fossil fuel-fired systems to actually displacing carbon-sourced energy from the grid, moving toward a fundamentally different system that actively replaces fossil fuels with renewable power.
Even though the manufacturing giant still sources most of its electricity from coal, the progress it has already made in the green transition, coupled with current trajectories, shows that China’s fossil fuel use may peak in 2025 and start to decline afterward. As China remains the largest greenhouse gas emitter in the world, a reduction in fossil fuel consumption in the country could have a major effect on global climate efforts.
Greenpeace East Asia suggests that China’s coal generation and energy sector emissions could peak this year thanks to accelerated deployment timelines. Project Manager Gao Yuhe stated that Beijing now has a key opportunity to restructure its energy system by reducing coal dependence while simultaneously establishing green energy sources like solar and wind as the country’s primary supply.
Interestingly, investment trends also reveal competing priorities within China’s energy strategy. Even though the country has committed more heavily to solar and wind deployment than any other nation and installs more renewable capacity than the rest of the world combined annually, major coal infrastructure development continues.
Authorities commissioned 21 gigawatts of coal capacity during the first half of 2025, representing the highest six-month total since 2016, according to the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air. The figures show that China’s ties to coal-fired energy remain strong despite its clean energy ambitions.
Industrial coal consumption for chemical production, including plastics manufacturing, continues expanding despite declining power sector usage, creating tension between electricity generation trends and growing industrial applications beyond power production.
President Xi Jinping has pledged to cutting down coal use in the country beginning in 2026, positioning coal facilities primarily as backup systems for renewables. However, with Beijing still providing incentives that support new construction, contradictions between policy statements and actual project approvals remain.
What remains clear is that renewable energy is marching forward in the country and suggests that the global trajectory of the energy transition creates considerable opportunities for enterprises like PowerBank Corporation (NASDAQ: SUUN) (Cboe CA: SUNN) (FRA: 103) that are focused on commercializing clean energy solutions and products around the world.
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